Bitcoin price prediction 2026
Our model puts Bitcoin's fair value at $113,000 by the end of 2026.
- Fair value
- $113,000
- Bottom
- $69,300
- Top
- $315,000
Fair value and bottom on 31 December 2026; top at its highest point in 2026 (February 2026).
Through the year
| Date | Fair value | Bottom | Top |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2026 | $127,000 | $49,700 | $313,000 |
| 1 Apr 2026 | $127,000 | $54,000 | $313,000 |
| 1 Jul 2026 | $123,000 | $58,800 | $303,000 |
| 1 Oct 2026 | $118,000 | $63,900 | $289,000 |
| 31 Dec 2026 | $113,000 | $69,300 | $278,000 |
What drives 2026
In 2026 the fair value is close to the long-term trend. 2026 is 2 years after the 2024 halving; the next one is expected in early 2028. Halving dates after 2024 are estimates.
Underneath the cycle, the long-term power-law trend stands at $110,000 in mid-2026. The fair value at the end of 2026 is 1.4 times today's price.
The price itself rarely sits on fair value. It swings between the bottom and the top, often by 50% or more within a year. What fair value means.
Questions
What is the Bitcoin price prediction for 2026?
Our model puts Bitcoin's fair value at $127,000 on 1 January 2026 and $113,000 on 31 December 2026. The actual price is usually above or below fair value; the bottom and top lines show the range it has historically stayed in.
How low could Bitcoin go in 2026?
The bottom line rises from $49,700 to $69,300 during 2026. Since June 2011 Bitcoin's daily price has never been below this line. That is history, not a guarantee.
How high could Bitcoin go in 2026?
The top line peaks at $315,000 in February 2026. On 97.5% of all past days the price was below this line, so a price above it would be unusually high.
When is the next Bitcoin halving?
The next halving is expected in early 2028. Halvings happen every 210,000 blocks, roughly every four years, and cut the new supply of bitcoin in half. The halving dates after that are estimates.
Model estimates, not a promise: past behaviour is no guarantee for the future. Not financial advice.